Opta’s Prediction Model analyzes contenders for Open and exciting 2023 tournament: Senegal favored to retain Africa Cup of Nations

The 2023 Africa Cup of Nations (Afcon) is set to begin with Senegal, the reigning champions, emerging as the narrow favorites to win the tournament again, according to a prediction model by Opta (AI).

The model Opta  considers various factors, including historical and recent team performances, betting market odds, and group compositions.

Senegal leads with a 12.8% chance of winning, followed closely by Ivory Coast (12.1%) and Morocco (11.1%). Algeria (9.7%) and Egypt (8.5%) round out the top five contenders.

The article highlights the challenges faced by host nations, with Ivory Coast attempting to secure their third Afcon title.

Morocco aims to overcome their quarter-final hurdle from previous tournaments. Algeria benefits from an easier group, increasing their chances of reaching the last 16.

The record seven-time Afcon champions, Egypt, led by Mohamed Salah, hope to avenge their 2021 final loss to Senegal.

Egypt has a 16% chance of reaching another final. Nigeria and Cameroon, with rich football histories, stand as strong contenders, with Nigeria having an 8.1% chance and Cameroon 7.5%.

Mali, with 3.7%, presents the best chance among potential first-time winners, boasting players in Europe’s major leagues.

The top seven teams are closely matched, with just 5.4% separating their winning probabilities, promising an open and exciting Afcon 2023.

Let’s wait till February 11. To see the winner.